dot earth blog - nytimes.com, september 9, 2008
"the post article describes a talk given last week by thomas fingar, the chairman of the national intelligence council:
by 2025, droughts, food shortages and scarcity of fresh water will plague large swaths of the globe, from northern china to the horn of africa. for poorer countries, climate change “could be the straw that breaks the camel’s back,” fingar said, while the united states will face “dust bowl” conditions in the parched southwest. he said u.s. intelligence agencies accepted the consensual scientific view of global warming, including the conclusion that it is too late to avert significant disruption over the next two decades.
the article said his speech also echoed a 2007 post here noting that in terms of population trends, the world is very much not flat:
… [a]mong industrialized states, declining birthrates will create new economic stresses as populations become grayer. in china, japan and europe, the ratio of working adults to seniors “begins to approach one to three,” he said.
population explosions in poor regions were also labeled a top threat recently by michael v. hayden, the director of the central intelligence agency."